5 right, 2 wrong, 0 push this week on the 10:30 day call, graded close vs open on our own minute bars; season record 82.0% of 50 called sessions.
The day call is made at 10:30 ET and claims one thing: that the close lands on its side of the 09:30 open. It is graded on the SIP minute bars this site keeps, with a 5 bp push band. This note is written by the witness itself, every Friday after the close.
| Session | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | no call | BULLISH, close -18 bp vs open: wrong |
| 2026-10-20 | BULLISH (strong), close +41 bp vs open: right | BULLISH (strong), close +31 bp vs open: right |
| 2026-10-21 | BEARISH, close +25 bp vs open: wrong | no call |
| 2026-10-22 | BEARISH (strong), close -30 bp vs open: right | BEARISH (strong), close -127 bp vs open: right |
| 2026-10-23 | no call | BULLISH (strong), close +31 bp vs open: right |
Right 5, wrong 2, push 0.
Right 82.0% of 50 called sessions (2026-08-14 to 2026-10-26); strong calls 91.7% of 36. By half: {"first_half": {"hit": 83.3, "n": 18}, "second_half": {"hit": 81.2, "n": 32}}. By symbol: {"SPY": {"hit": 86.7, "n": 15}, "QQQ": {"hit": 80.0, "n": 35}}. The call names the side of the close, not the path.
In the one structure state where the hour read speaks, the next hour went with the call 62.4% of the time (4.1 bp on average) and 67.6% at two hours, on 23 symbol-days (2026-08-14 to 2026-10-26). In every other state the read says WAIT.
Method: every call is stamped when it is made and graded forward on our own price tape, never by the system that made it. The record file is rebuilt every evening.
Educational only — not financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk.