Open hypotheses, pre-registered

2026-10-27 · pre-registered

The reads under test now, registered before their forward windows close. None of these is on the member screen. Results will be posted here when the window ends, whichever way they fall.

Each line names the question, the horizon and the bar it has to clear. The definitions are held privately with their registration date; a hypothesis that fails is reported with the same prominence as one that passes.

H1. An hour-scale read under negative gamma

The hour read is silent below the line. Question: is there a state under negative gamma in which the next 60 minutes lean with the day call? Bar: 60% in both halves, 25 symbol-days each.

H2. The magnet at the day scale

Question: does the session close nearer the magnet than chance would put it, by regime? Horizon: the close. Bar: 60% in both halves.

H3. A bearish-side read

The record is carried by bullish calls on QQQ. Question: does the day call hold on BEARISH calls alone, both symbols? Horizon: the close. Bar: 75% on at least 20 calls per half.

H4. The wall as a target, not a turn

Walls did not reject price within the hour. Question: does the session close nearer the wall on the day call's side? Horizon: the close. Bar: 60% in both halves.

H5. The indicator battery

Twenty conventional indicators, read at 10:30 and graded close vs open on the same tape as the day call. Bar: beat the day call's 82% in both halves. The expectation is that none will; the test is registered so that the answer is on the record either way.


Educational only — not financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk.